Current status

Pandemic Phases

It is likely that the development of a pandemic will move through a number of different phases as the virus becomes more adept at infecting humans, and spreads around the globe. Identifying the phase is useful to guide decision-making and to ensure the most appropriate actions are being taken. The World Health Organization (WHO) has a set of pandemic phases (external link) that it uses to describe the global situation (phases 1-6).

The Australian pandemic phases are designed to describe the situation in Australia and to guide Australia's response. Thus, the Australian and the WHO phase may not always be the same.

The Australian phases describe whether the virus is in countries overseas (OS) or in Australia (AUS). Having an Australian system means that actions can be taken in Australia before a change of phase is declared by the WHO. The description of each phase is shown in the following table.

Note: the current phase has been highlighted.

Australian phase Description
ALERT A novel virus with pandemic potential causes severe disease in humans who have had contact with infected animals. There is no effective transmission between humans. Novel virus has not arrived in Australia.
DELAY Novel virus has not arrived in Australia.
OS4 Small cluster of cases in one country overseas.
OS5 Large cluster(s) of cases in only one or two countries overseas.
OS6 Large cluster(s) of cases in more than two countries overseas.
CONTAIN Pandemic virus has arrived in Australia causing small number of cases and/or small number of clusters.
SUSTAIN Pandemic virus is established in Australia and spreading in the community.
CONTROL Customised pandemic vaccine widely available and is beginning to bring the pandemic under control.
RECOVER Pandemic controlled in Australia but further waves may occur if the virus drifts and/or is re-imported into Australia.
PROTECT Pandemic virus is mild in most but severe in some and moderate overall. This phase sits alongside CONTAIN and SUSTAIN phases with a greater focus on treating and caring for those more vulnerable to severe outcomes.
Vaccination in PROTECT

Under the AHMPPI (2008) immunisation would normally mark the beginning of the next phase, or CONTROL. However, given the moderate nature of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, and the desirability of continuing current measures under the PROTECT phase, a change to the CONTROL phase will not occur.

The PROTECT pandemic immunisation program enhances current efforts to reduce morbidity and mortality in people at increased risk of severe outcomes if infected with the pandemic (H1N1) influenza virus.